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As gold continues to set new all-time highs (ATH) – trading at $3,333 per ounce at the time of writing – Bitcoin (BTC) has seen more subdued price action, consolidating in the mid-$80,000 range. However, analysts suggest that the top digital asset may soon mirror gold’s recent momentum.
Bitcoin Set To Follow Gold’s Momentum?
In a recent post on X, crypto trading account Cryptollica hinted that BTC may be poised to replicate gold’s historic price movement seen over the past few months. The account shared the following chart, highlighting the striking similarities between the price actions of gold and BTC.
The chart shows both gold and BTC forming a macro-bottom around early 2023, followed by a rejection at the range top in early 2024. Gold eventually broke out in the following months, while BTC lagged slightly, breaking out around November 2024.
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According to Cryptollica, BTC now appears to be breaking out of a consolidatory wedge pattern, with a potential mid-term target as high as $155,000. Currently, Bitcoin’s ATH stands at $108,786, recorded earlier this year in January.
BTC is also likely to benefit from several favorable macroeconomic trends. For example, the global M2 money supply is expected to increase in 2025, a development that typically supports risk-on assets like Bitcoin.
BTC Maturing As A Safe Haven Asset
Beyond technical chart patterns, BTC has demonstrated remarkable resilience amid escalating global tariff-induced uncertainty. According to the latest The Week On-Chain report, both gold and BTC have performed well during the ongoing tariff war. The report notes:
Amidst this turmoil, the performance of hard assets remains remarkably impressive. Gold continues to surge higher, having reached a new ATH of $3,300, as investors flee to the traditional safe haven asset. Bitcoin sold off to $75k initially alongside risk assets, but has since recovered the week’s gains, trading back up to $85k, now flat since this burst of volatility.
The report also mentions that BTC recently experienced its largest price correction of the 2023–25 cycle, a -33% drawdown from its ATH earlier this year. However, this correction remains relatively modest compared to those seen in previous market cycles.
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The following chart illustrates BTC bull market correction drawdowns since 2011. As shown, the recent -33% correction is the shallowest among past cycles, with the deepest being -72% during the 2012–14 bull market.
While BTC continues to show signs of maturing as a reliable asset during times of geopolitical uncertainty, institutional investors appear to be taking profits. This is evidenced by recent outflows from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). At press time, BTC is trading at $84,694, up 0.7% in the past 24 hours.
Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X, Glassnode, and Tradingview.com
