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After falling from its Macro Range, Aptos (APT) has faced rejection from key levels. Amid its 15% monthly decline, some analysts suggest that APT’s party won’t continue until the $5 resistance is reclaimed.
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Aptos Trades In ‘No Man’s Land’
Over the past two weeks, Aptos has seen its price drop to its lowest levels in two years, falling below the $4 mark for the first time. The cryptocurrency has been trading within the $5.45-$17 price range since 2023, maintaining the Macro Range lows until the March corrections.
Notably, APT had tested this key level twice before, but closed below its Macro Range for the first time last month. Analyst Rekt Capital noted that the cryptocurrency has historically developed bases around these levels “in the form of downside wicks for three-month periods,” seemingly forming one for the third time with its current downtrend.
Amid the early April recovery, the analyst noted that Aptos was forming a lower timeframe bullish divergence as its Relative Strength Index (RSI) was forming Higher Lows despite the downside deviation. Nonetheless, he warned about “the dangers of a higher timeframe bearish retest for APT.”
Since then, Aptos has “followed through on that bearish retest and rejected from the previous Macro Range Low, treating it as resistance.” After the rejection, APT’s price retraced 26% to the $3.9 support, where it “found some liquidity” and bounced to the $4.2-$4.5 range.
“However, still, the confirmation for a trend reversal isn’t there just yet,” he explained, adding that Aptos must reclaim the Macro Range Lows or it would risk further bleeding.
APT needs to reclaim the $5.44 Range Low level as support to confirm that it is ready to resynchronise with its prior range and try to position itself to challenge for higher prices. Without that confirmation, the risk is a little bit too steep because APT is in the middle of no man’s land.
Until then, “it will be important to watch out for signs of mounting strength in the meantime,” the analyst added.
APT Party Halted?
Similarly, analyst Sjuul from AltCryptoGems considers that there will be “no party on APT” until it reclaims the $5 resistance, which it has been unable to recover for the past two weeks.
“As long as we stay below the $5 level, unfortunately, it’s just a bearish retest,” he asserted. Meanwhile, another market watcher pointed out that APT has been moving within a falling wedge pattern for the past five months, with a breakout “imminent.”
However, the analyst affirmed that this week’s performance could determine whether the pattern will break out, as it needs to reclaim the $5 resistance and surge above $5.4.
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Rekt Capital noted that Aptos has revisited the 35 Relative Strength Index (RSI) during its recent performance, “which has historically been a key region in facilitating basing periods from which price would reverse to the upside over time.”
With APT at this level, the RSI would need to break its multi-week RSI Downtrend to “confirm a sign of emerging strength in price, building out a bottoming-out area here. Until then, it is a waiting game for the most part.”
As of this writing, APT trades at $4.5, a 1% decline in the daily timeframe.
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
