LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – MARCH 14: (L-R) Opponents Marvin Vettori of Italy and Roman Dolidze of Georgia … [+]
The UFC is in Las Vegas for Saturday night’s UFC Vegas 104 fight card. The UFC Fight Night event follows the UFC 313 pay-per-view card, where the UFC light heavyweight champion Alex Pereira lost his title to Magomed Ankalaev. This week, the main event of UFC Vegas 104 is a middleweight rematch. In that contest, Marvin Vettori and Roman Dolidze run back their 2023 scrap, a three-round affair that Vettori won via unanimous decision. In the UFC Vegas 104 co-main event, Chidi Njokuani and Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos look to break into the light heavyweight rankings with a victory. We look at the betting odds, line movement, prediction, picks and prop bets for the UFC Vegas 104 Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 fight card and offer our preview, picks, and predictions for the event.
UFC Vegas 104 Fight Card Preview: Betting Odds, Line Movement And Predictions – Vettori Vs. Dolidze 2
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – MARCH 14: (L-R) Opponents Marvin Vettori of Italy and Roman Dolidze of Georgia … [+]
Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) returns to the UFC Octagon for the first time since he dropped a unanimous decision to Jared Cannonier in June 2023. That fight followed his March 2023 decision win over Roman Dolidze. An injury knocked Vettori out of a scheduled April 2024 matchup against Brendan Allen. Vettori enters UFC Vegas 104 as the No. 8 ranked fighter in the official UFC middleweight rankings.
Vettori opened his UFC career in 2016. He went 2-2-1 in his first five fights with the promotion. Following a split decision loss to future UFC middleweight champion Israel Adesanya in April 2018, Vettori put together a five-fight unbeaten streak. That run earned him a rematch against Adesanya, who by then held the UFC’s 185-pound belt. Adesanya won that contest via decision.
Vettori is 2-2 since his loss to Adesanya.
Roman Dolidze (14-3) enters UFC Vegas 104 as the No. 11 UFC middleweight.Dolidze joined the promotion in July 2020 going 2-1 in his first three outings with the UFC. Dolidze followed a March 2021 decision loss to Trevin Giles with a four-fight winning streak. That run ended with his loss to Vettori. A majority decision setback to Nassourdine Imavov followed.
Dolidze followed that lackluster performance with a decision win over Anthony Smith at UFC 303. In his most recent trip to the cage, Dolidze scored a TKO win over Kevin Holland in a bout where Holland could not continue because of broken ribs.
When the betting odds for the UFC Vegas 104 main event opened, Vettori was a -120 betting favorite over Dolidze, who came in as the +100 underdog. Those odds have moved slightly. Today, Vettori is -160 and Dolidze is +135. Vettori has received 53 percent of the bets and 67 percent of the handle.
Roman Dolidze is the better all-around fighter in this contest. The problem with Dolidze is that he doesn’t use his full skill set inside the Octagon. Instead of employing his grappling skills, he seems most interested in getting in slugfests. While fans might not mind that style, Dolidze employs that approach to the detriment of his career.
With that being said, Dolidze has been far more active than Vettori, and he has shown the ability to pick up his output and accuracy while mixing up his targets and techniques. With that, the betting pick is that Dolidze will beat Vettori at UFC Vegas 104 via decision.
UFC Vegas 104 Fight Card Preview: Betting Odds, Line Movement And Predictions – Njokuani vs. Dos Santos
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – MARCH 14: (L-R) Opponents Chidi Njokuani and Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos of Brazil … [+]
In the co-main event, Dos Santos opened as a -180 favorite over Njokuani, who was listed as the +145 underdog. Today, Dos Santos is -200 and Njokuani comes in at +165. Most of the bets (52 percent) have been on Njokuani, but the majority of the money has been on Dos Santos (84 percent.)
The betting pick for the UFC Vegas 104 co-main event is Dos Santos to beat Njokuani via decision.
UFC Vegas 104 Fight Card Preview: Betting Odds, Line Movement And Predictions – Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaugh
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – MARCH 14: (L-R) Opponents Alexander Hernandez and Kurt Holobaugh face off during … [+]
Alexander Hernandez and Kurt Holobaugh meet in a lightweight scrap on the main card of UFC Vegas 104. The opening odds had Hernandez at -185 and Holobaugh at +150. Today, Hernandez is the -220 favorite over the +180 underdog, Holobaugh. Holobaugh has picked up most of the bets at 68 percent, while 54 percent of the money has come in on his opponent.
The pick in this one is Holobaugh to win via decision.
UFC Vegas 104 Fight Card Preview: Betting Odds, Line Movement And Predictions – Da’Mon Blackshear vs. Cody Gibson
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – MARCH 14: (L-R) Opponents Da’Mon Blackshear and Cody Gibson face off during the … [+]
In a bantamweight bout, Da’Mon Blackshear faced Cody Gibson. The opening odds had Blackshear as a significant -425 favorite over the +320 Gibson. Those odds have shifted a bit. Today Blackshear is -450 and Gibson +350. It’s not a surprise to see bettors going with the value in this one. Gibson has 83 percent of the bets and 94 percent of the money in his favor.
The betting pick is that Blackshear will win by decision, but the value is not really there for such a big favorite.
UFC Vegas 104 Fight Card Preview: Betting Odds, Line Movement And Predictions – Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Brendson Ribeiro
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – MARCH 14: (L-R) Opponents Diyar Nurgozhay of Kazakstan and Brendson Ribeiro of … [+]
The only light heavyweight matchup on the UFC Vegas 104 main card is Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Brendson Ribeiro. This one has seen some substantial line movement. Nurgozhay opened at -250. He is now listed at -400. Meanwhile, Ribeiro has gone from +200 to +310. Sixty-six percent of the bets are on the underdog, while 75 percent of the money is on the favorite.
The betting pick is for Nurgozhay to win via knockout.
UFC Vegas 104 Fight Card Preview: Betting Odds, Line Movement And Predictions – Seungwoo Choi vs. Kevin Vallejos
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – MARCH 14: (L-R) Opponents SeungWoo Choi of South Korea and Kevin Vallejos of … [+]
The opening fight on the UFC Vegas 104 main card is a featherweight fete. In that scrap Seungwoo Choi faces Kevin Vallejos. Choi opened as the +280 betting underdog to the -350 Vallejos. Today, Choi is listed at +425, while Vallejos comes in at -600. Choi has picked up 57 percent of the bets, while 96 percent of the handle is on Vallejos.
The betting pick is for Vallejos to win via knockout.
*Numbers via BetMGM
UFC Vegas 104 Fight Card Prop Bets To Consider
Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze to go the distance: -200
Chidi Njokuani vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos to end via knockout: -155
Da’Mon Blackshear to beat Cody Gibson via submission: +225
Diyar Nurgozhay to beat Brendson Ribeiro via knockout: -115
Kevin Vallejos to beat Seungwoo Choi via knockout in Round 1: +175
*Odds via Bovada
UFC Vegas 104 Full Fight Card
UFC Vegas 104 Main Card
Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze
Chidi Njokuani vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaugh
Da’Mon Blackshear vs. Cody Gibson
Diyar Nurgozha vs. Brendson Ribeiro
Seungwoo Choi vs. Kevin Vallejos
UFC Vegas 104 Preliminary Card
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Ryan Spann
Suyoung You vs. AJ Cunningham
Carlos Vera vs. Josias Musasa
Stephanie Luciano vs. Sam Hughes
Daniel Barez vs. André Lima
Josiane Nunes vs. Priscila Cachoeira
Yuneisy Duben vs. Carli Judice
UFC Vegas 104 Fight Card Date
Saturday, March 15, 2025
UFC Vegas 104 Fight Card Location
UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV
UFC Vegas 104 Fight Card How to Watch Or Stream
Full fight card streams on ESPN+
UFC Vegas 104 Fight Card Time
Prelims: 4:00 p.m. ET
Main Card: 7:00 p.m. ET
Stay tuned for more coverage from UFC Vegas 104.
